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Research Reports

KREI publishes reports through medium- and long-term research related to agricultural and rural policies, and through studies in various fields to promptly respond to current issues.

A Study on the Future Scenarios of Korean Agriculture in 2040

2023.02.16 26991
  • Author
    Lee, Myeongki
  • Publication Date
    2023.02.16
  • Original

Purpose of Research
○Each individual has different preferences about conflicting values, and it is expected that the future of agriculture that they prefer will also vary. This study started to find a specific answer to a question, “How diverse and different is the future of Korean agriculture that the people want?” The answer to this question can provide us with details of conflicts among people about the future of agriculture. Through the process of consultation, understanding, and adjustment for the resolution of the collisions, it is possible to promote agricultural policies for the future on which consensus is formed.

○In addition, the purpose of agricultural policies is becoming more diversified and complicated, and uncertainty about the future is increasing. In this situation, in order to implement agricultural policies more effectively, it is necessary to present the future of agriculture based on various values. And it is required to examine the influence of internal and external conditions in a more diversified and in-depth way.

○This study was conducted for the following purposes. ① Various future scenarios of agriculture in 2040 are presented based on diverse values preferred by the people (experts, farmers, and the general public). ② Examine the impacts of internal and external conditions on future agriculture. ③ Propose the mid- to long-term agricultural policy agenda for each scenario to achieve the future. ④ In addition, the study quantitatively analyzes how diverse the people's opinions are about their preferred values and the present state of agriculture and its possible and preferred futures. Through these, the study aims to be used as research material to establish and implement agricultural policies.

(For more information, please refer to the report.)

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